{"assessments":[],"deployments":[],"fuzz":[],"identity":{"adapter":"0xde152afb7db5373f34876e1499fbd893a82dd336","chainId":1,"collection":"0x0000ec93127baa929e58e97dd0095a2bfb38ec1d","registry":"0x8004a169fb4a3325136eb29fa0ceb6d2e539a432"},"interpretation":"Records acceptance and evidence. Neither completion nor an AI assessment establishes correctness, safety, or independent review.","jobId":"4e14db6a-0f0f-425d-a557-d8f1865116ef","kind":"skill:research-report","nodes":[{"acceptedSubmissionHash":"722aeb045462f66792fecadeadda093bac16b804a360a5367f14059b4aaf8a48","dependsOn":[],"execution":{"network":true,"profile":"none","requires":["network"],"skillHash":"3ddca93330036359dd721585e58e67820336a0398b7927b3c89369d6134f30f6","skillId":"research-report","tools":[]},"key":"research_report","kind":"code","role":"implement","skillHash":"3ddca93330036359dd721585e58e67820336a0398b7927b3c89369d6134f30f6","skillId":"research-report","state":"accepted"}],"objective":"You are a crypto perpetual futures trader. Produce one trade decision for a player in Paper Clash, a game where players win map tiles with leveraged trades on PaperTrade. The player has chosen to let you make every trading decision. The goal: take the tile H10 (Desert). That needs the trade to close with a net return on margin above +0.2%. If it closes below that the player keeps the PnL but not the tile, so aim to clear the line, and make the player as much as you reasonably can.\n\n## Fixed constraints\n- Market: \"BTC\" or \"ETH\" perpetual (BTC, ETH). Pick the one with the better setup right now.\n- Direction: exactly one of \"long\" or \"short\".\n- Margin: $20 (the player chose it; you don't).\n- Leverage: an integer from 50 to 1000 inclusive (the tile's minimum, and PaperTrade's $1,000-$10M position size).\n- Take-profit: the price move in your favor, in basis points of price from the actual entry (1 bp = 0.01%), not return on margin. It must clear the line:\n        50x → bust 195 bp, take-profit ≥ 1.8 bp\n       525x → bust 14 bp, take-profit ≥ 0.6 bp\n      1000x → bust 5 bp, take-profit ≥ 0.5 bp\n- Stop-loss: a price move against the position in bp, smaller than the bust distance, or null to hold to liquidation (liquidation is then the stop).\n- No time limit: the trade stays open until the take-profit, the stop-loss (or liquidation) or the player closes it, however long that takes. There is no funding, so holding costs nothing.\n- The trade opens a few minutes after you answer (it is queued behind your report), so base the exits on moves from the actual entry, not on your quoted mid.\n\n## Papertrade execution\nEntry and exit fill at the Hyperliquid BBO mid ((best bid + best ask) / 2): no spread, slippage, funding or fee on notional.\nLiquidation: the position is liquidated when the mid moves against it by about 10000 / leverage − 5 bp, and the whole margin is lost.\nWinning closes are haircut (losses are not): a 0.2 bp deadband comes off the move, the gain is scaled by 0.90 / (1 + 1/(move × 15000) + 100000/(1e6 × move × 814.598)) (move as a fraction after the deadband; BTC parameters, ETH is similar), then a 2% win fee. The keep is ~49% at 3 bp, ~61% at 5 bp, ~72% at 10 bp, ~80% at 20 bp, ~85% at 50 bp: tiny take-profits are heavily taxed.\n\n## How to decide\nThe decision is yours. Pull the market data below, and look up anything else that helps (news, scheduled macro events, liquidation levels, other exchanges' flow). Be decisive: always return a trade. Express doubt through confidence, leverage and the exits, not by refusing. Higher leverage multiplies gains but shrinks the survivable adverse move; a stop-loss saves part of the margin but can stop out a trade that would have recovered.\n\n## Market data (Hyperliquid public API, no auth)\nPOST https://api.hyperliquid.xyz/info with Content-Type: application/json. Times are Unix ms. For each of BTC and ETH:\n1. Candles: {\"type\":\"candleSnapshot\",\"req\":{\"coin\":\"BTC\",\"interval\":\"1m\",\"startTime\":<now-60min>,\"endTime\":<now>}}, and 5m over 6 h, 15m over 24 h. Fields: t, T, o/h/l/c (strings), v, n. Oldest first.\n2. Context: {\"type\":\"metaAndAssetCtxs\"} → [meta, ctxs]; ctxs[index of the coin in meta.universe] has markPx, oraclePx, premium, funding (hourly), openInterest, dayNtlVlm, prevDayPx.\n3. Book: {\"type\":\"l2Book\",\"coin\":\"BTC\",\"nSigFigs\":5} → levels[0] bids, levels[1] asks ({px, sz, n}, best first). mid = (best bid + best ask) / 2.\nAlso useful: {\"type\":\"recentTrades\",\"coin\":\"BTC\"}, {\"type\":\"fundingHistory\",\"coin\":\"BTC\",\"startTime\":<ms>}.\n\nUseful metrics, in bp of price so they compare with the bust distance and exits: how often recent 1m windows moved the bust distance against a position before the take-profit in its favor; per-candle adverse excursion; realized volatility over 15/30/60 min and whether it is expanding; distance from VWAP and 1m/5m EMAs; momentum agreement across 1m/5m/15m; trade flow and book imbalance near the mid; funding and premium; open interest vs price; the 24 h range; scheduled events in the next hour.\n\n## Output\nReturn ONLY one JSON object, no fences or commentary. Write it to artifacts/report.md (output \"report\"), not just the final reply. Exactly these keys:\n{\n  \"market\": \"BTC\" | \"ETH\",\n  \"direction\": \"long\" | \"short\",\n  \"leverage\": <integer 50-1000>,\n  \"take_profit_bp\": <number, favorable price move in bp from entry>,\n  \"stop_loss_bp\": <number smaller than bust_distance_bp, or null to hold to liquidation>,\n  \"bust_distance_bp\": <number, 10000/leverage - 5>,\n  \"expected_net_return_on_margin_pct\": <number, if the take-profit hits>,\n  \"confidence\": <number 0.0-1.0>,\n  \"regime\": \"trending_up\" | \"trending_down\" | \"ranging\" | \"volatile_choppy\",\n  \"entry_mid\": <number, the live mid you based the trade on>,\n  \"data_time_utc\": \"<ISO 8601 time you fetched the data>\",\n  \"reasoning\": \"<2-4 plain sentences: the evidence for the market and direction, and why this leverage and these exits fit the volatility and the line to beat>\",\n  \"risks\": \"<1-2 sentences: what would most likely stop it out or liquidate it>\"\n}\nUse JSON numbers (and null for no stop-loss).","parentJobId":null,"planHash":"8068c7697ad44210bff68f4774603f7abd78ab6e2b312a5f365f05531325e1fb","previousHash":"0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","projectId":"4e14db6a-0f0f-425d-a557-d8f1865116ef","publication":{"commit":null,"deliveredAt":null,"repoUrl":null},"receiptIdentity":{"adapter":"0xde152afb7db5373f34876e1499fbd893a82dd336","chainId":1,"collection":"0x0000ec93127baa929e58e97dd0095a2bfb38ec1d","registry":"0x8004a169fb4a3325136eb29fa0ceb6d2e539a432"},"registry":"0xb6d0a187b050fa5bb0b87033a203f37becf4a775","research":[],"schema":"identitymd-work-v1","signals":[{"agentId":"51361","feedbackHash":"b82dceeb338af7a925089860da8602a11952449d07dde7d09d4a6cb53979f17e","nodeKey":"research_report","submissionHash":"722aeb045462f66792fecadeadda093bac16b804a360a5367f14059b4aaf8a48","tag1":"verification:structural","tag2":"acceptance-v2","value":1}],"site":null,"snapshotHash":"f642bb7debadd54a5766ad312eef3d1eac0b922884aa934b52918297b7dee8b5","state":"completed","submissions":[{"artifacts":[{"bytes":1585,"hash":"9bce129da10840e6219410de4025fba6aca0b245d067ef29295f702ee8e6a7f4","mediaType":"text/markdown","name":"report","path":"artifacts/report.md"}],"attempt":1,"bundleHash":"edf42e13370c89d39af617990068ace8987b36a6ad919a929de707733a7762d5","device":"20a3efdc039f2089","findings":[],"hash":"722aeb045462f66792fecadeadda093bac16b804a360a5367f14059b4aaf8a48","nodeId":"b6b6b463-a5b1-4942-b82d-a1b5bcf5c203","outcome":"completed","summary":"{\"market\":\"BTC\",\"direction\":\"long\",\"leverage\":75,\"take_profit_bp\":40,\"stop_loss_bp\":25,\"bust_distance_bp\":128.33333333333334,\"expected_net_return_on_margin_pct\":25.131572,\"confidence\":0.59,\"regime\":\"trending_up\",\"entry_mid\":80797.5,\"data_time_utc\":\"2026-10-27T20:01:13.983422+00:00\",\"reasoning\":\"Hyperliquid public API (https://api.hyperliquid.xyz/info) shows BTC above its completed-candle 9/21 EMAs on 1m, 5m and 15m, with a +24.20 bp one-hour move; ETH has weaker alignment, including a -9.79 bp twelve-minute move. BTC completed 1m ranges have a 2.73 bp median and 5.20 bp 90th percentile, while displayed bid depth is 134.11 BTC versus 70.62 BTC offered across the returned levels, supporting a tentative continuation long. At 75x on $20 margin, the 25 bp stop allows several normal candle ranges while staying well inside the 128.33 bp liquidation distance; the 40 bp target seeks a larger continuation that avoids the steepest tiny-win haircut. The supplied BTC payout formula gives about +25.13% net on margin if the target fills, comfortably above +0.2%; all exits are relative to actual entry, and confidence is a judgment rather than a calibrated win probability.\",\"risks\":\"BTC is roughly 12.01 bp above its one-hour VWAP and near the sampled 24-hour high, so breakout rejection or broader market selling could trigger the 25 bp stop (about -18.75% on margin). Book depth can vanish, queued entry can change the setup, and an abrupt move could reach liquidation; scheduled macro events were not independently verified.\"}","treeHash":"5646080806634f6fe6d8fe274f1b66ccbe75877f","usage":{"cachedInputTokens":116480,"inputTokens":34279,"model":"gpt-6.1-sol","outputTokens":3868,"runtime":"codex","turns":1,"wallClockMs":92467}}],"verification":[{"checks":[],"detail":"paths and tree verified; no suite was run for this kind of work","evaluation":"structural","profile":"none","status":"accepted","submissionHash":"722aeb045462f66792fecadeadda093bac16b804a360a5367f14059b4aaf8a48","verifiedTreeHash":"5646080806634f6fe6d8fe274f1b66ccbe75877f","verifierVersion":"0.1.0+260efc41"}]}