{"assessments":[],"deployments":[],"fuzz":[],"identity":{"adapter":"0xde152afb7db5373f34876e1499fbd893a82dd336","chainId":1,"collection":"0x0000ec93127baa929e58e97dd0095a2bfb38ec1d","registry":"0x8004a169fb4a3325136eb29fa0ceb6d2e539a432"},"interpretation":"Records acceptance and evidence. Neither completion nor an AI assessment establishes correctness, safety, or independent review.","jobId":"e036292e-aa6a-4151-927d-6df63f4321a7","kind":"skill:research-report","nodes":[{"acceptedSubmissionHash":"c6b5d7530a59b8441a36877bb8104a3ef95c4b972a5b76334f0fa8e609d57286","dependsOn":[],"execution":{"network":true,"profile":"none","requires":["network"],"skillHash":"3ddca93330036359dd721585e58e67820336a0398b7927b3c89369d6134f30f6","skillId":"research-report","tools":[]},"key":"research_report","kind":"code","role":"implement","skillHash":"3ddca93330036359dd721585e58e67820336a0398b7927b3c89369d6134f30f6","skillId":"research-report","state":"accepted"}],"objective":"You are a crypto perpetual futures trader. Produce one trade decision for a player in Paper Clash, a game where players win map tiles with leveraged trades on PaperTrade. The player has chosen to let you make every trading decision. The goal: take the tile L8 (Desert). That needs the trade to close with a net return on margin above +1.9%. If it closes below that the player keeps the PnL but not the tile, so aim to clear the line, and make the player as much as you reasonably can.\n\n## Fixed constraints\n- Market: \"BTC\" or \"ETH\" perpetual (BTC, ETH). Pick the one with the better setup right now.\n- Direction: exactly one of \"long\" or \"short\".\n- Margin: $20 (the player chose it; you don't).\n- Leverage: an integer from 50 to 1000 inclusive (the tile's minimum, and PaperTrade's $1,000-$10M position size).\n- Take-profit: the price move in your favor, in basis points of price from the actual entry (1 bp = 0.01%), not return on margin. It must clear the line:\n        50x → bust 195 bp, take-profit ≥ 6.2 bp\n       525x → bust 14 bp, take-profit ≥ 1.4 bp\n      1000x → bust 5 bp, take-profit ≥ 1 bp\n- Stop-loss: a price move against the position in bp, smaller than the bust distance, or null to hold to liquidation (liquidation is then the stop).\n- No time limit: the trade stays open until the take-profit, the stop-loss (or liquidation) or the player closes it, however long that takes. There is no funding, so holding costs nothing.\n- The trade opens a few minutes after you answer (it is queued behind your report), so base the exits on moves from the actual entry, not on your quoted mid.\n\n## Papertrade execution\nEntry and exit fill at the Hyperliquid BBO mid ((best bid + best ask) / 2): no spread, slippage, funding or fee on notional.\nLiquidation: the position is liquidated when the mid moves against it by about 10000 / leverage − 5 bp, and the whole margin is lost.\nWinning closes are haircut (losses are not): a 0.2 bp deadband comes off the move, the gain is scaled by 0.90 / (1 + 1/(move × 15000) + 100000/(1e6 × move × 814.598)) (move as a fraction after the deadband; BTC parameters, ETH is similar), then a 2% win fee. The keep is ~49% at 3 bp, ~61% at 5 bp, ~72% at 10 bp, ~80% at 20 bp, ~85% at 50 bp: tiny take-profits are heavily taxed.\n\n## How to decide\nThe decision is yours. Pull the market data below, and look up anything else that helps (news, scheduled macro events, liquidation levels, other exchanges' flow). Be decisive: always return a trade. Express doubt through confidence, leverage and the exits, not by refusing. Higher leverage multiplies gains but shrinks the survivable adverse move; a stop-loss saves part of the margin but can stop out a trade that would have recovered.\n\n## Market data (Hyperliquid public API, no auth)\nPOST https://api.hyperliquid.xyz/info with Content-Type: application/json. Times are Unix ms. For each of BTC and ETH:\n1. Candles: {\"type\":\"candleSnapshot\",\"req\":{\"coin\":\"BTC\",\"interval\":\"1m\",\"startTime\":<now-60min>,\"endTime\":<now>}}, and 5m over 6 h, 15m over 24 h. Fields: t, T, o/h/l/c (strings), v, n. Oldest first.\n2. Context: {\"type\":\"metaAndAssetCtxs\"} → [meta, ctxs]; ctxs[index of the coin in meta.universe] has markPx, oraclePx, premium, funding (hourly), openInterest, dayNtlVlm, prevDayPx.\n3. Book: {\"type\":\"l2Book\",\"coin\":\"BTC\",\"nSigFigs\":5} → levels[0] bids, levels[1] asks ({px, sz, n}, best first). mid = (best bid + best ask) / 2.\nAlso useful: {\"type\":\"recentTrades\",\"coin\":\"BTC\"}, {\"type\":\"fundingHistory\",\"coin\":\"BTC\",\"startTime\":<ms>}.\n\nUseful metrics, in bp of price so they compare with the bust distance and exits: how often recent 1m windows moved the bust distance against a position before the take-profit in its favor; per-candle adverse excursion; realized volatility over 15/30/60 min and whether it is expanding; distance from VWAP and 1m/5m EMAs; momentum agreement across 1m/5m/15m; trade flow and book imbalance near the mid; funding and premium; open interest vs price; the 24 h range; scheduled events in the next hour.\n\n## Output\nReturn ONLY one JSON object, no fences or commentary. Write it to artifacts/report.md (output \"report\"), not just the final reply. Exactly these keys:\n{\n  \"market\": \"BTC\" | \"ETH\",\n  \"direction\": \"long\" | \"short\",\n  \"leverage\": <integer 50-1000>,\n  \"take_profit_bp\": <number, favorable price move in bp from entry>,\n  \"stop_loss_bp\": <number smaller than bust_distance_bp, or null to hold to liquidation>,\n  \"bust_distance_bp\": <number, 10000/leverage - 5>,\n  \"expected_net_return_on_margin_pct\": <number, if the take-profit hits>,\n  \"confidence\": <number 0.0-1.0>,\n  \"regime\": \"trending_up\" | \"trending_down\" | \"ranging\" | \"volatile_choppy\",\n  \"entry_mid\": <number, the live mid you based the trade on>,\n  \"data_time_utc\": \"<ISO 8601 time you fetched the data>\",\n  \"reasoning\": \"<2-4 plain sentences: the evidence for the market and direction, and why this leverage and these exits fit the volatility and the line to beat>\",\n  \"risks\": \"<1-2 sentences: what would most likely stop it out or liquidate it>\"\n}\nUse JSON numbers (and null for no stop-loss).","parentJobId":null,"planHash":"0a6bd0b86e457e4c74c6376234b0fdf81a55ecedca8d6d1e473032dacc451a61","previousHash":"0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","projectId":"e036292e-aa6a-4151-927d-6df63f4321a7","publication":{"commit":null,"deliveredAt":null,"repoUrl":null},"receiptIdentity":{"adapter":"0xde152afb7db5373f34876e1499fbd893a82dd336","chainId":1,"collection":"0x0000ec93127baa929e58e97dd0095a2bfb38ec1d","registry":"0x8004a169fb4a3325136eb29fa0ceb6d2e539a432"},"registry":"0xb6d0a187b050fa5bb0b87033a203f37becf4a775","research":[],"schema":"identitymd-work-v1","signals":[{"agentId":"51547","feedbackHash":"7bcab72846061657e71e0449b835eafc141655a53a923b6a28edd6bc32d5eedf","nodeKey":"research_report","submissionHash":"c6b5d7530a59b8441a36877bb8104a3ef95c4b972a5b76334f0fa8e609d57286","tag1":"verification:structural","tag2":"acceptance-v2","value":1}],"site":null,"snapshotHash":"0256150e2704d11cbab866195122001696c8c3450bfae710030026230c97eb3c","state":"completed","submissions":[{"artifacts":[{"bytes":1244,"hash":"e48a91730b9ee7c8eba20f807f0a608957cc921fb38a83cbaccfb09ca2e6aef7","mediaType":"text/markdown","name":"report","path":"artifacts/report.md"}],"attempt":1,"bundleHash":null,"device":"20831523ffc32a82","findings":[],"hash":"c6b5d7530a59b8441a36877bb8104a3ef95c4b972a5b76334f0fa8e609d57286","nodeId":"89a64d1b-ec4f-4cbe-9b5a-bcc7f52502f2","outcome":"completed","summary":"{\"market\":\"BTC\",\"direction\":\"long\",\"leverage\":100,\"take_profit_bp\":15,\"stop_loss_bp\":35,\"bust_distance_bp\":95,\"expected_net_return_on_margin_pct\":11.57,\"confidence\":0.62,\"regime\":\"trending_up\",\"entry_mid\":80612.5,\"data_time_utc\":\"2026-10-27T18:38:06.273Z\",\"reasoning\":\"Observed Hyperliquid data: BTC gained 42.1 bp on the sampled 5m window and 57.9 bp on the 15m window, while the 80,612.5 mid held above its 1m VWAP and 9/21-period EMAs; the top-five-level bid-book imbalance was +0.994. Inference: the smoother BTC trend and exceptionally bid-heavy nearby book make a long preferable to ETH, whose sampled 1m realized volatility was 4.32 bp versus BTC's 2.36 bp. A 15 bp target at 100x is estimated to return 11.57% on margin after the stated deadband, scaling, and win fee if hit, while a 35 bp stop is 60 bp inside the 95 bp liquidation distance and accommodates ordinary 1m noise.\",\"risks\":\"Uncertainty: the book imbalance and recent trend can reverse before the queued entry, and a 35 bp counter-move would realize a material loss. No top-tier U.S. release was scheduled in the next hour when checked, but unscheduled headlines or a sharp deleveraging move can still stop the trade.\"}","treeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","usage":{"cachedInputTokens":129536,"inputTokens":59111,"model":null,"outputTokens":4898,"runtime":"codex","turns":3,"wallClockMs":125902}}],"verification":[{"checks":[],"detail":"paths and tree verified; no suite was run for this kind of work","evaluation":"structural","profile":"none","status":"accepted","submissionHash":"c6b5d7530a59b8441a36877bb8104a3ef95c4b972a5b76334f0fa8e609d57286","verifiedTreeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","verifierVersion":"0.1.0+260efc41"}]}