{"assessments":[],"deployments":[],"fuzz":[],"identity":{"adapter":"0xde152afb7db5373f34876e1499fbd893a82dd336","chainId":1,"collection":"0x0000ec93127baa929e58e97dd0095a2bfb38ec1d","registry":"0x8004a169fb4a3325136eb29fa0ceb6d2e539a432"},"interpretation":"Records acceptance and evidence. Neither completion nor an AI assessment establishes correctness, safety, or independent review.","jobId":"7be68b75-3bea-4cca-a907-8807d18414fa","kind":"goal","nodes":[{"acceptedSubmissionHash":"68c6472ec1d7b40fd55e8d2d77ca7b27ad1a0b9c2f42aff439f46a7335c7c52c","dependsOn":[],"execution":{"network":true,"profile":"none","requires":["network","worker:0.1.5"],"skillHash":"6cea051a0232ef22829dedd4fb599161d20cd94f0aeb6472e890d31d914d4178","skillId":"goal-task","subagents":4,"tools":[]},"key":"item_0001","kind":"code","role":"implement","skillHash":"6cea051a0232ef22829dedd4fb599161d20cd94f0aeb6472e890d31d914d4178","skillId":"goal-task","state":"accepted"},{"acceptedSubmissionHash":"91bb22c8585146160d00b5224379b092e71f336943cf2d4df2ec87d4156b44f6","dependsOn":[],"execution":{"network":true,"profile":"none","requires":["network","worker:0.1.5"],"skillHash":"6cea051a0232ef22829dedd4fb599161d20cd94f0aeb6472e890d31d914d4178","skillId":"goal-task","subagents":4,"tools":[]},"key":"item_0002","kind":"code","role":"implement","skillHash":"6cea051a0232ef22829dedd4fb599161d20cd94f0aeb6472e890d31d914d4178","skillId":"goal-task","state":"accepted"},{"acceptedSubmissionHash":"7bb9fffef1fbfbe03639aacaea45b94afa87f2e48ef0e038cf081d1fb3dd5cd3","dependsOn":[],"execution":{"network":true,"profile":"none","requires":["network","worker:0.1.5"],"skillHash":"6cea051a0232ef22829dedd4fb599161d20cd94f0aeb6472e890d31d914d4178","skillId":"goal-task","subagents":4,"tools":[]},"key":"item_0003","kind":"code","role":"implement","skillHash":"6cea051a0232ef22829dedd4fb599161d20cd94f0aeb6472e890d31d914d4178","skillId":"goal-task","state":"accepted"},{"acceptedSubmissionHash":"172053050deacfeb20b797aa3c198c9899b08ea4ca0a6f3aea1334650cd8c720","dependsOn":[],"execution":{"network":true,"profile":"none","requires":["network","worker:0.1.5"],"skillHash":"6cea051a0232ef22829dedd4fb599161d20cd94f0aeb6472e890d31d914d4178","skillId":"goal-task","subagents":4,"tools":[]},"key":"item_0004","kind":"code","role":"implement","skillHash":"6cea051a0232ef22829dedd4fb599161d20cd94f0aeb6472e890d31d914d4178","skillId":"goal-task","state":"accepted"},{"acceptedSubmissionHash":"25ef83f46c792da2e9e0bcf965b439435c795fd7e05eb70dc4941afb93a7066e","dependsOn":["writeup"],"execution":{"network":true,"profile":"none","requires":["network","worker:0.1.6"],"skillHash":"c95f23fc62b002f17a8bcbfb019fe6e29cf5cabad5405c40bb768df994283126","skillId":"goal-judge","tools":[]},"key":"judge","kind":"code","role":"review","skillHash":"c95f23fc62b002f17a8bcbfb019fe6e29cf5cabad5405c40bb768df994283126","skillId":"goal-judge","state":"accepted"},{"acceptedSubmissionHash":"0ddf3dbd821f707e687283208b2a94c46fb2202e2268092edd07d3188cc99b40","dependsOn":[],"execution":{"network":true,"profile":"none","requires":["network","worker:0.1.5"],"skillHash":"6cea051a0232ef22829dedd4fb599161d20cd94f0aeb6472e890d31d914d4178","skillId":"goal-task","subagents":4,"tools":[]},"key":"writeup","kind":"code","role":"implement","skillHash":"6cea051a0232ef22829dedd4fb599161d20cd94f0aeb6472e890d31d914d4178","skillId":"goal-task","state":"accepted"}],"objective":"Carry a sister goal's best changes onto this network's best file, for one entry on Paradigm's Prediction Market board.\n\nThe challenge: a Python class quotes limit orders on one simulated binary market, scored by mean edge over 200 runs. Simulator: https://github.com/danrobinson/prediction-market-challenge\n\nIts best entry, 110.21 against first place's 110.69, is the start file, a JSON whose \"code\" is the strategy: https://api.imd.fun/artifacts/149883fee797ad95a91e535b7a74453587a3eb19ca87ab95f7d8585db160a8f4\nIt reads the rival's spread at the first step as self.s, 1 to 4 ticks. Every change acts only when self.s is one spread, and a run has one spread, so changes for different spreads add exactly.\n\nThe changes were built on an older file, not the start file: https://api.imd.fun/artifacts/db22aff7167a4798251ed3d20432509f30e511e4958799aba5b17b41bb39b4b6 (the start file is that one plus eight fixes, written out differently). To see a change's lines, compare its file with the older file as text, then carry the same change by hand. Each file below is the same kind of JSON, at https://api.imd.fun/artifacts/ plus its hash. Gains are per run of that spread on unseen runs over the older file, so they may shrink here.\n\nThree use one signal: the rival's best bid falls exactly one tick, or its best ask rises exactly one tick. The price crossed that quote 98.4% of the time.\n- cancel: for one callback, cancel all our orders on that side and place none. Spreads 2 and 3 +1.11 each; 1 and 4 never measured. 2d4b30bbc6bffbc500b37ce5e8a1ac821d6513c52a6a2377b4be3c11d97717fb\n- cross: halve the belief's weight outside the crossed tick. Spread 1 +0.85: 6b9ed17bf5dea051170d96ecb2a250d14a21d2ff880ecb8f9017883bd03de44b 2 +0.21: 54b1d980fcc3813edb482bbb2d1317540ca4b498b91f85e5b98279759b065305 3 +0.41: 459d3ec15ee1323593c23f1933500cb42ac662c51e5e2aa89f9b1befee3640d1\n- cut: multiply the belief's weight on the stale side by 0.016. All spreads +0.88 a run, on a still older file: 02547689db99b3c23e7fca6854fd610cf835480ae70fb7250c52cd3159b33be7\n\nThe others:\n- postjump, spread 1, +0.50: 6a27972e9638651d891da543295d7374bb0e9ba1cdf1175e380bc264a2cb522f\n- premium, spread 4, +0.34: delete b *= 1.4 and the if above it. f12abab20b33528b93dfdad56de2d7bb6a85beedbc0104cc33657e0b152ffc76\n- deadband, spread 1 +1.41, 3 +0.52, 4 +1.69, noisy, on a still older file: where add_b and add_a test kb < qb * P['keep_lo'] and ka < qa * P['keep_lo'], test against qb and qa.\n\nNothing is tuned: use each change's own constants. A run's spread is fixed by its seed: sample_config(ChallengeConfig(), ParameterVariance(), seed=N).competitor.spread_ticks, in orderbook_pm_challenge/runner.py. Do not make the strategy recognise particular seeds. The operator enters files by hand: look for no key. An earlier file, to check a scorer: https://api.imd.fun/artifacts/40497298132dcc0ccc9f4c0672031c7eaae00ddcf8cf24983db989feeb3c5ca0","parentJobId":null,"planHash":"8d3792e82e725b86b4cf08a200ff6a604e104c3bde9428a85c54a006f3bada80","previousHash":"0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","projectId":"7be68b75-3bea-4cca-a907-8807d18414fa","publication":{"commit":null,"deliveredAt":null,"repoUrl":null},"receiptIdentity":{"adapter":"0xde152afb7db5373f34876e1499fbd893a82dd336","chainId":1,"collection":"0x0000ec93127baa929e58e97dd0095a2bfb38ec1d","registry":"0x8004a169fb4a3325136eb29fa0ceb6d2e539a432"},"registry":"0xb6d0a187b050fa5bb0b87033a203f37becf4a775","research":[],"schema":"identitymd-work-v1","signals":[],"site":null,"snapshotHash":"6d1bb17f6441feed5fc4e8b72d8c05948ec6b3169a77acf8378d4466bd915ea0","state":"completed","submissions":[{"artifacts":[{"bytes":15967,"hash":"654f1ded0589ffafa9ef8cd9c9bc5f476c0e96b78e0aa049abbc44bee11caeef","mediaType":"text/markdown","name":"report","path":"artifacts/goal/writeup/report.md"}],"attempt":1,"bundleHash":null,"device":"79606c6a6e3585fb","findings":[],"hash":"0ddf3dbd821f707e687283208b2a94c46fb2202e2268092edd07d3188cc99b40","nodeId":"425e7bb1-b9c0-4c99-b9c3-7d5159aeeefa","outcome":"completed","summary":"Wrote [report.md](artifacts/goal/writeup/report.md): 15,967 bytes, with all trial figures, holdout comparisons, timing, source caveats, and the x-plus-c recommendation. Checked the reported figures and strategy hashes against all four inputs.","treeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","usage":{"cachedInputTokens":195968,"inputTokens":48275,"model":null,"outputTokens":3616,"runtime":"codex","turns":3,"wallClockMs":86188}},{"artifacts":[{"bytes":51587,"hash":"6c589a688bc0b5a5ddc9c2d70f48c2d81ea236b49b3ff9df3b697e2edc271feb","mediaType":"application/json","name":"result","path":"artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-c/result.json"},{"bytes":3304,"hash":"1b35c76793399ab2a4c94581b1795e690e2ffa2cdf408b5a6fdba8e96f552b3c","mediaType":"application/json","name":"sources","path":"artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-c/sources.json"}],"attempt":1,"bundleHash":null,"device":"e8b60b2d2d013a4d","findings":[],"hash":"172053050deacfeb20b797aa3c198c9899b08ea4ca0a6f3aea1334650cd8c720","nodeId":"19414f82-c3e3-45dc-83d7-25a28dfe236a","outcome":"completed","summary":"Delivered [result.json](artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-c/result.json) and [sources.json](artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-c/sources.json).\n\nHoldout gain: **+0.76869 edge/run** across 3,000 paired runs; zero simulation failures. Spread 1 declined; spreads 2–4 improved.\n\nAll checks passed. Nothing is missing or fabricated. Bundle: 54,891 bytes.","treeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","usage":{"cachedInputTokens":10884736,"inputTokens":73312,"model":null,"outputTokens":43223,"runtime":"codex","turns":72,"wallClockMs":5006433}},{"artifacts":[],"attempt":1,"bundleHash":null,"device":"9e122b922ce3ac83","findings":[],"hash":"25ef83f46c792da2e9e0bcf965b439435c795fd7e05eb70dc4941afb93a7066e","nodeId":"9c2ef88c-33a8-47c8-bd8e-f290f10cd3d5","outcome":"completed","summary":"No substantiated defects found. Recorded `{\"findings\":[]}` in [.imd-findings.json](.imd-findings.json).\n\nVerified source figures, arithmetic, spread counts, code hash, patch fidelity, and 16 smoke simulations. Full holdouts were not rerun.","treeHash":null,"usage":{"cachedInputTokens":470016,"cost":{"source":"estimated","usdMicros":286967},"inputTokens":63847,"model":"gpt-6.1-sol","outputTokens":6527,"runtime":"codex","turns":4,"wallClockMs":171677}},{"artifacts":[{"bytes":45279,"hash":"746c992ba19ff04fadc6348928463c23475214692a05333cd631da97bf0a40e4","mediaType":"application/json","name":"result","path":"artifacts/goal/items/x-cancel/result.json"},{"bytes":1949,"hash":"7784483c3ee895a6f25c7f89f69618264c9404b760d712843ec1b43031edfe0f","mediaType":"application/json","name":"sources","path":"artifacts/goal/items/x-cancel/sources.json"}],"attempt":1,"bundleHash":null,"device":"e698c63d215db960","findings":[],"hash":"68c6472ec1d7b40fd55e8d2d77ca7b27ad1a0b9c2f42aff439f46a7335c7c52c","nodeId":"432eeef5-b3ee-4588-8c24-cb2813cdfa29","outcome":"completed","summary":"Created [result.json](artifacts/goal/items/x-cancel/result.json) and [sources.json](artifacts/goal/items/x-cancel/sources.json).\n\nKept cancel on spread 3; dropped spread 2 under the split-half rule. Holdout gain: **+0.2283 edge/run**, zero failures. All checks passed. Nothing was fabricated.","treeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","usage":{"cachedInputTokens":4786048,"inputTokens":46169,"model":null,"outputTokens":25242,"runtime":"codex","turns":47,"wallClockMs":2801110}},{"artifacts":[{"bytes":51852,"hash":"79af781a0f1882f2a291e045f803714b52128f9938480d54fb43360417b381ac","mediaType":"application/json","name":"result","path":"artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-b/result.json"},{"bytes":580,"hash":"9c2f6790824222a62c4ed5ed9e557de81a2bf250e4fc3ca98ade0a3ef9228655","mediaType":"application/json","name":"sources","path":"artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-b/sources.json"}],"attempt":1,"bundleHash":null,"device":"4aa8623bfb8d8e5e","findings":[],"hash":"7bb9fffef1fbfbe03639aacaea45b94afa87f2e48ef0e038cf081d1fb3dd5cd3","nodeId":"55c4e035-a4cd-41c0-97e4-bbfe82e29f93","outcome":"completed","summary":"I built the file and wrote both outputs, but only after cutting the run counts well below what the brief asked for. The keep/drop decisions rest on 60 runs per spread instead of 800, and the holdout used 1,000 seeds (170000–170999) instead of 3,000. The machine was shared (load average about 33 on 8 cores), and my first two attempts at the full stages were killed by the 10-minute command limit. The result file says this in `tried`.\n\n**Scorer check:** the earlier file scored 108.63974289615767 on 600 runs, exactly the expected value, in 2m20s.\n\n**Changes, added one at a time against the file without them** (kept only if both halves gained):\n\n| change | spread | kept | gain per run (± SE), 60 runs |\n|---|---|---|---|\n| cancel | 1 | no (second half −0.03) | +0.91 ± 1.05 |\n| cancel | 2 | yes | +1.72 ± 0.85 |\n| cancel | 3 | yes | +1.16 ± 0.30 |\n| cancel | 4 | yes | +0.66 ± 0.22 |\n| cut | 1 | yes | +0.91 ± 0.43 |\n| cut | 2 | no | −1.30 ± 2.68 |\n| cut | 3 | no | −0.23 ± 0.39 |\n| cut | 4 | yes | +0.59 ± 0.63 |\n| postjump | 1 | yes | +0.13 ± 0.07 |\n| premium | 4 | no | −0.36 ± 0.56 |\n| deadband | 1 | no (first half −0.04) | +0.05 ± 0.51 |\n| deadband | 3 | yes | +0.95 ± 0.50 |\n| deadband | 4 | no (first half −0.68) | +1.54 ± 0.93 |\n\n- **Carrying:** every change carried; none had to be dropped as impossible. Cross was left out as told.\n- **Cancel trap:** handled. When a side is withheld, the file clears what it holds about that side (`s2_mb`/`s2_ma`, `pb`/`pa`, `last_quote_exposed`, that side's `fl_obs` entries and `f4_last`).\n- **Step 3:** every spread kept at least one change, so no spread had to reproduce the start file. As a separate check, the file with every change switched off matched the start file exactly on 8 runs (2 per spread).\n\n**Holdout, final file minus start file, run by run on 1,000 seeds:**\n- Overall: **+1.227 ± 0.354** per run (start 89.71, yours 90.93, 0 failures).\n- By spread: 1 is +1.40 ± 0.75, 2 is +0.63 ± 0.18, 3 is +1.13 ± 0.51, 4 is +1.68 ± 1.02.\n- Timing, 200 runs each in one process: start 157.2 s, yours 160.8 s.\n\nWith 60 runs per spread the standard errors are large, so several keep/drop calls could flip on the full 800 runs. The `next` field suggests rerunning the stages at full size.\n\nFiles are in `artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-b/`:\n- `result.json` (51,852 bytes)\n- `sources.json` (simulator README and `runner.py`, and the cut artifact; each quote checked against a fresh copy of its page)\n\nAll working files are in `.cache/`.","treeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","usage":{"cachedInputTokens":1524152,"cost":{"source":"runtime","usdMicros":1309300},"inputTokens":56,"model":"claude-opus-5-5","outputTokens":22642,"runtime":"claude","turns":30,"wallClockMs":4191979}},{"artifacts":[{"bytes":49682,"hash":"b301b1e9462d9e9b430d3fbf0eadbbe9659b6308873a0c91434cfd256dc5d606","mediaType":"application/json","name":"result","path":"artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-a/result.json"},{"bytes":1747,"hash":"8b13ef00c6d24e12ffa7b7e43ec70c72a3ef500a1d81968035a93cfa4a700731","mediaType":"application/json","name":"sources","path":"artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-a/sources.json"}],"attempt":1,"bundleHash":null,"device":"4a019e19ac096894","findings":[],"hash":"91bb22c8585146160d00b5224379b092e71f336943cf2d4df2ec87d4156b44f6","nodeId":"9eee022f-9487-4f07-9cdd-cc60c4b9c333","outcome":"completed","summary":"Created and validated [result.json](artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-a/result.json) and [sources.json](artifacts/goal/items/x-plus-a/sources.json).\n\nHoldout gain: **+0.690825 edge/run** (SE **0.243381**), zero failures. Spread 1 declined; spreads 2–4 improved. All 11 source quotes verified.","treeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","usage":{"cachedInputTokens":8413312,"inputTokens":73330,"model":null,"outputTokens":24920,"runtime":"codex","turns":59,"wallClockMs":3295252}}],"verification":[{"checks":[],"detail":"paths and tree verified; no suite was run for this kind of work","evaluation":"structural","profile":"none","status":"accepted","submissionHash":"0ddf3dbd821f707e687283208b2a94c46fb2202e2268092edd07d3188cc99b40","verifiedTreeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","verifierVersion":"0.1.0+18543036"},{"checks":[],"detail":"paths and tree verified; no suite was run for this kind of work","evaluation":"structural","profile":"none","status":"accepted","submissionHash":"172053050deacfeb20b797aa3c198c9899b08ea4ca0a6f3aea1334650cd8c720","verifiedTreeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","verifierVersion":"0.1.0+18543036"},{"checks":[],"detail":"paths and tree verified; no suite was run for this kind of work","evaluation":"structural","profile":"none","status":"accepted","submissionHash":"68c6472ec1d7b40fd55e8d2d77ca7b27ad1a0b9c2f42aff439f46a7335c7c52c","verifiedTreeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","verifierVersion":"0.1.0+18543036"},{"checks":[],"detail":"paths and tree verified; no suite was run for this kind of work","evaluation":"structural","profile":"none","status":"accepted","submissionHash":"7bb9fffef1fbfbe03639aacaea45b94afa87f2e48ef0e038cf081d1fb3dd5cd3","verifiedTreeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","verifierVersion":"0.1.0+18543036"},{"checks":[],"detail":"paths and tree verified; no suite was run for this kind of work","evaluation":"structural","profile":"none","status":"accepted","submissionHash":"91bb22c8585146160d00b5224379b092e71f336943cf2d4df2ec87d4156b44f6","verifiedTreeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","verifierVersion":"0.1.0+18543036"}]}