{"assessments":[],"deployments":[],"fuzz":[],"identity":{"adapter":"0xde152afb7db5373f34876e1499fbd893a82dd336","chainId":1,"collection":"0x0000ec93127baa929e58e97dd0095a2bfb38ec1d","registry":"0x8004a169fb4a3325136eb29fa0ceb6d2e539a432"},"interpretation":"Records acceptance and evidence. Neither completion nor an AI assessment establishes correctness, safety, or independent review.","jobId":"2e4dddc5-8e5b-4596-8a94-f5ea06895e1f","kind":"skill:research-report","nodes":[{"acceptedSubmissionHash":"141b3dbd1b49a40c76cac1caf03331259393e36e13fc6b134181e79aa841d045","dependsOn":[],"execution":{"network":true,"profile":"none","requires":["network"],"skillHash":"3ddca93330036359dd721585e58e67820336a0398b7927b3c89369d6134f30f6","skillId":"research-report","tools":[]},"key":"research_report","kind":"code","role":"implement","skillHash":"3ddca93330036359dd721585e58e67820336a0398b7927b3c89369d6134f30f6","skillId":"research-report","state":"accepted"}],"objective":"Find the top 10 most controversial polymarket decisions on UMA such as suitgate. and make them easy questions i can ask the identity MD oracle so it can share how it would have resolved those markets in yes or no answers","parentJobId":null,"planHash":"cb983c301e9049012cd885e203e51715241307dcc507ee8621f0294fc9e016f1","previousHash":"0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000","projectId":"2e4dddc5-8e5b-4596-8a94-f5ea06895e1f","publication":{"commit":null,"deliveredAt":null,"repoUrl":null},"receiptIdentity":{"adapter":"0xde152afb7db5373f34876e1499fbd893a82dd336","chainId":1,"collection":"0x0000ec93127baa929e58e97dd0095a2bfb38ec1d","registry":"0x8004a169fb4a3325136eb29fa0ceb6d2e539a432"},"registry":"0xb6d0a187b050fa5bb0b87033a203f37becf4a775","research":[],"schema":"identitymd-work-v1","signals":[{"agentId":"52288","feedbackHash":"a2d5fabd1a42ea573dadd2f7c6dd978e4e8984f79a08f181cc4470c410325c0e","nodeKey":"research_report","submissionHash":"141b3dbd1b49a40c76cac1caf03331259393e36e13fc6b134181e79aa841d045","tag1":"verification:structural","tag2":"acceptance-v2","value":1}],"site":null,"snapshotHash":"27022a8d560c1063d133a8e6e54f4401bb013bbf39d72cc18cb85c4d581affb4","state":"completed","submissions":[{"artifacts":[{"bytes":21195,"hash":"65167f0fcf1bd1aeed4d41c4c8014b1c6b53fb8dc1891df767fdc43c9f97e9b2","mediaType":"text/markdown","name":"report","path":"artifacts/report.md"}],"attempt":1,"bundleHash":null,"device":"942100a62f69e61c","findings":[],"hash":"141b3dbd1b49a40c76cac1caf03331259393e36e13fc6b134181e79aa841d045","nodeId":"cbb3e3d9-10c6-45ed-9db9-43b7f0fe886f","outcome":"completed","summary":"I've written the report to `artifacts/report.md`. It lists ten contested Polymarket resolutions, each turned into a yes/no question you can ask the oracle.\n\nEach entry has a short question, a longer version that includes the market's own rule text, and what Polymarket actually decided. Notes under each are labelled as fact (linked to a source), my inference, or uncertain, and the report ends with the questions I couldn't answer. Outcomes, rule text, volumes and dispute histories come from Polymarket's own public market data, pulled today. I cross-checked every result and volume in the report against that data.\n\n| # | Ask the oracle | What Polymarket decided |\n|---|---|---|\n| 1 | Did Zelenskyy wear a suit between May 22 and June 30, 2025? (\"suitgate\", about $242M bet) | No |\n| 2 | Was the US–Iran ceasefire officially extended by April 22, 2026? | No |\n| 3 | Did the US and Iran agree a permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Yes |\n| 4 | Was TikTok banned for most Americans before May 2025? | Yes |\n| 5 | Did the Trump administration declassify UFO files in 2025? | Yes |\n| 6 | Did the US invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No |\n| 7 | Did the US and Ukraine agree a rare-earths deal by March 31, 2025? | Yes |\n| 8 | Did Edmundo González win Venezuela's 2024 election? | Yes |\n| 9 | Was the Titan submersible's passenger cabin found by June 23, 2023? | Yes |\n| 10 | Is there a preponderance of evidence that Barron Trump helped create the $DJT token? | No (Polymarket publicly said UMA got it wrong) |\n\nThings to know before you use it:\n\n- **The ranking is my judgment.** There's no official list. I picked markets with press coverage of the dispute itself, a UMA dispute or Polymarket intervention on record, and real money involved. Two near misses (Fort Knox gold, Israel–Hezbollah ceasefire) are noted at the end of the report.\n- **Not every case went to a UMA vote.** The Venezuela invasion market was decided by Polymarket's own clarification of what counts as an invasion, with no dispute filed. I kept it because of the size of the backlash.\n- **Whale-voting claims are unchecked.** Figures like \"one holder cast 25% of the votes\" come from news reports and third-party analysts; I didn't check them against blockchain records.\n- **Some details are thinly sourced.** The reported refund to Barron \"Yes\" bettors comes only from a Manifold market's notes. The Iran peace deal dates differ between sources.\n- **There's no \"correct\" answer list.** The report gives Polymarket's decisions only as a baseline to compare the oracle's answers against.\n- **No independent review.** I did this research alone.\n\nThe `artifacts/` folder is git-ignored, so nothing was committed. Besides the report, it holds a short `README.md` and a trimmed copy of the Polymarket data in `evidence/`; the report links to that copy. Only the report is a named output, so the other two may not be uploaded with it.","treeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","usage":{"cachedInputTokens":805818,"inputTokens":34,"model":"claude-opus-5-5","outputTokens":21385,"runtime":"claude","turns":39,"wallClockMs":382846}}],"verification":[{"checks":[],"detail":"paths and tree verified; no suite was run for this kind of work","evaluation":"structural","profile":"none","status":"accepted","submissionHash":"141b3dbd1b49a40c76cac1caf03331259393e36e13fc6b134181e79aa841d045","verifiedTreeHash":"4b825dc642cb6eb9a060e54bf8d69288fbee4904","verifierVersion":"0.1.0+94826a22"}]}