{"workflow":null,"planning":null,"id":"da6f3698-7825-4b74-b1cc-f662d07bfbc7","state":"completed","template":"research","objective":"Independently research Chicago WS vs Cleveland (Pro Baseball; sport: baseball), scheduled 2026-10-03T17:00:00+00:00. Phase: BLIND. Hard data cutoff: 2026-10-03T05:00:34.564Z. Use only information available by that cutoff and prioritize the last 1–2 years. Do not use betting or prediction-market prices to infer true probability.\n\nNo confirmed lineup payload is available. Treat all lineup claims as probable or unknown.\n\nAssess confirmed starting pitchers, pitcher workload and pitch-count trends, bullpen availability and fatigue, batting order, platoon splits, park and weather effects, defense, baserunning and opponent-adjusted recent form. Baseball has no draw: return draw exactly 0. Clearly label confirmed, probable, disputed and unknown facts. Prefer official team/league and recognized statistical sources; never invent missing information.\n\nFirst estimate independent regulation/official-result home/away probabilities. The monitored contracts are Chicago WS wins (KXMLBGAME-26OCT031300CWSCLE-CWS), Cleveland wins (KXMLBGAME-26OCT031300CWSCLE-CLE), but do not compare to their prices. Include counterarguments, NO BET conditions and live thesis-invalidation signals.\n\nEnd with exactly one <decision_json> block containing valid JSON with: as_of_utc, data_cutoff_utc, fair_probabilities {home_win,draw,away_win}, confidence, data_quality, citations [{url,publisher,retrieved_at}], uncertainty_reasons, no_bet_reasons, thesis_invalidation. The three probabilities must sum to 1. confidence and data_quality must each be JSON numbers from 0 to 1, never qualitative labels. no_bet_reasons must contain only blockers that are true now and make this assessment unusable now; use an empty array when none are active. Put conditional future triggers in thesis_invalidation instead. Every retrieved_at must be a full ISO 8601 UTC datetime. Research is advisory and must not claim an order was placed.","blockedReason":null,"createdAt":"2026-10-03T05:00:55.096Z","updatedAt":"2026-10-03T05:05:35.029Z","paidBy":"0x69497459b35e1cdc1b90dc3b7a87fe4cf2890345","parentJobId":null,"project":{"id":"da6f3698-7825-4b74-b1cc-f662d07bfbc7","head":"da6f3698-7825-4b74-b1cc-f662d07bfbc7","running":null,"versions":[{"jobId":"da6f3698-7825-4b74-b1cc-f662d07bfbc7","workflowId":null,"objective":"Independently research Chicago WS vs Cleveland (Pro Baseball; sport: baseball), scheduled 2026-10-03T17:00:00+00:00. Phase: BLIND. Hard data cutoff: 2026-10-03T05:00:34.564Z. Use only information available by that cutoff and prioritize the last 1–2 years. Do not use betting or prediction-market prices to infer true probability.\n\nNo confirmed lineup payload is available. Treat all lineup claims as probable or unknown.\n\nAssess confirmed starting pitchers, pitcher workload and pitch-count trends, bullpen availability and fatigue, batting order, platoon splits, park and weather effects, defense, baserunning and opponent-adjusted recent form. Baseball has no draw: return draw exactly 0. Clearly label confirmed, probable, disputed and unknown facts. Prefer official team/league and recognized statistical sources; never invent missing information.\n\nFirst estimate independent regulation/official-result home/away probabilities. The monitored contracts are Chicago WS wins (KXMLBGAME-26OCT031300CWSCLE-CWS), Cleveland wins (KXMLBGAME-26OCT031300CWSCLE-CLE), but do not compare to their prices. Include counterarguments, NO BET conditions and live thesis-invalidation signals.\n\nEnd with exactly one <decision_json> block containing valid JSON with: as_of_utc, data_cutoff_utc, fair_probabilities {home_win,draw,away_win}, confidence, data_quality, citations [{url,publisher,retrieved_at}], uncertainty_reasons, no_bet_reasons, thesis_invalidation. The three probabilities must sum to 1. confidence and data_quality must each be JSON numbers from 0 to 1, never qualitative labels. no_bet_reasons must contain only blockers that are true now and make this assessment unusable now; use an empty array when none are active. Put conditional future triggers in thesis_invalidation instead. Every retrieved_at must be a full ISO 8601 UTC datetime. Research is advisory and must not claim an order was placed.","baseCommit":"0243d7da4a4337ae8b16bcdf15bb4ead736fd68f","state":"completed","createdAt":"2026-10-03T05:00:55.096Z"}]},"deliver":false,"host":false,"site":null,"launch":{"requested":false,"kind":null,"id":null,"status":null,"chainId":null},"oracleRequestId":null,"delivery":null,"media":null,"nodes":[{"key":"panel","role":"review","state":"accepted","attempt":1,"revisions":0,"judgeRevisions":0,"dependsOn":[],"allowedPaths":[],"failureReason":null,"dispatchNote":null,"dispatchNoteAt":null,"updatedAt":"2026-10-03T05:05:35.029Z","verdict":null,"seat":null,"live":null}],"reviews":[{"status":"sent","chainId":1,"txHash":"0x5aa30bc38051eaa89c9337277ac9932d6c9624fdf47e8012f3e51d4e86088a9e","blockNumber":26115051,"sentAt":"2026-10-03T23:18:14.634Z","entries":[]}]}