## Merge 07: side-jump-budget against incumbent N

**Pooled evidence.** One candidate (`8c249a7d…`), three blocks, 1,500 paired seeds, 410500–411999. Overall the difference is **−0.430 ± 0.233 (SE)**: about 1.8 SE below zero, with no gain shown. Retail −0.903, arbitrage +0.473: it gives up more retail than it saves in arbitrage.

| Spread | n | Mean ± SE | Retail | Arb |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 390 | 0 (identical) | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 377 | −0.924 ± 0.769 | −1.743 | +0.819 |
| 3 | 375 | −0.791 ± 0.521 | −1.861 | +1.070 |
| 4 | 358 | 0 (identical) | 0 | 0 |

Every seed at spreads 1 and 4 has zero difference, so the candidate only changes play at spreads 2 and 3. Neither is significant alone. All three block means are negative (−0.381, −0.812, −0.097).

**Inputs.** `item-side-jump-budget-a`, `-b`, `-c` under `.imd/reads/artifacts/`; SHA-256 matched the task's values. No input is missing.

**Flag: none.** All blocks are complete, without failures, and report incumbent `bf0d179f…`. Limits: the expected check values and candidate hash were not in my brief, so I could only compare blocks. Check values agree (block a is rounded to 6 places). Python differs (3.14.4, 3.12.3, 3.14.4). `key` is the item keys without the -a/-b/-c suffix. No file states the candidate's idea.

```json
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```