{"key":"s2-lowp-b","idea":"Measure frozen d-s2-lowp-early-bids against N: smaller new main bids at very low probability early in the run, spread 2.","candidate_sha256":"c3f52bdfbcc3a516d10172da7496dc8e9ac5c3cf4bee6b083566673a03f5a6cd","comparator_sha256":"bf0d179f3e47d28819f6fa7e0d25548c2ced43374c216d36460b00a26a26ffae","seeds":{"start":431000,"end":431499},"n":500,"complete":true,"missing_seeds":[],"failures":[],"check_values":[17.1160017503,20.0171113118,2.3903113616,241.4847522404],"python_version":"3.12.3","seconds_per_simulation":0.948155132685788,"overall":{"n":500,"sum_d":1.4537291932000116,"sum_d2":0.7985924036716416,"mean_diff":0.002907458386400023,"se":0.0017843291869619124,"comparator_mean":90.7981984582868,"candidate_mean":90.80110591667321,"retail_diff":0.00033768542939992583,"arb_diff":0.0025697729562000047},"by_spread":{"1":{"n":120,"sum_d":0.0,"sum_d2":0.0,"mean_diff":0.0,"se":0.0,"comparator_mean":47.845470400452506,"candidate_mean":47.845470400452506,"retail_diff":0.0,"arb_diff":0.0},"2":{"n":144,"sum_d":1.4537291932000116,"sum_d2":0.7985924036716416,"mean_diff":0.010095341619444524,"se":0.006170006776888628,"comparator_mean":51.38938116759722,"candidate_mean":51.39947650921667,"retail_diff":0.001172518852083076,"arb_diff":0.00892282276458335},"3":{"n":114,"sum_d":0.0,"sum_d2":0.0,"mean_diff":0.0,"se":0.0,"comparator_mean":118.18809850139738,"candidate_mean":118.18809850139738,"retail_diff":0.0,"arb_diff":0.0},"4":{"n":122,"sum_d":0.0,"sum_d2":0.0,"mean_diff":0.0,"se":0.0,"comparator_mean":153.96826773603115,"candidate_mean":153.96826773603115,"retail_diff":0.0,"arb_diff":0.0}},"per_seed":[[431000,3,0.0],[431001,1,0.0],[431002,4,0.0],[431003,3,0.0],[431004,2,0.0],[431005,4,0.0],[431006,4,0.0],[431007,3,0.0],[431008,3,0.0],[431009,2,0.0],[431010,3,0.0],[431011,3,0.0],[431012,3,0.0],[431013,2,0.0],[431014,2,0.0],[431015,2,0.0],[431016,4,0.0],[431017,3,0.0],[431018,4,0.0],[431019,1,0.0],[431020,3,0.0],[431021,2,0.0],[431022,2,0.0],[431023,3,0.0],[431024,4,0.0],[431025,1,0.0],[431026,3,0.0],[431027,2,0.0],[431028,4,0.0],[431029,2,0.0],[431030,4,0.0],[431031,1,0.0],[431032,2,0.0],[431033,4,0.0],[431034,2,0.0],[431035,1,0.0],[431036,3,0.0],[431037,2,0.0],[431038,3,0.0],[431039,4,0.0],[431040,4,0.0],[431041,2,0.0],[431042,4,0.0],[431043,2,0.0],[431044,4,0.0],[431045,4,0.0],[431046,4,0.0],[431047,4,0.0],[431048,4,0.0],[431049,3,0.0],[431050,2,0.0],[431051,4,0.0],[431052,1,0.0],[431053,4,0.0],[431054,3,0.0],[431055,2,0.0],[431056,2,0.0],[431057,3,0.0],[431058,3,0.0],[431059,3,0.0],[431060,4,0.0],[431061,2,0.0],[431062,2,0.0],[431063,2,0.0],[431064,2,0.0],[431065,4,0.0],[431066,3,0.0],[431067,2,0.0],[431068,2,0.0],[431069,2,0.0],[431070,2,0.0],[431071,3,0.0],[431072,4,0.0],[431073,1,0.0],[431074,4,0.0],[431075,3,0.0],[431076,2,0.0],[431077,3,0.0],[431078,2,0.0],[431079,1,0.0],[431080,1,0.0],[431081,3,0.0],[431082,2,0.809541],[431083,2,0.0],[431084,4,0.0],[431085,1,0.0],[431086,4,0.0],[431087,2,0.0],[431088,1,0.0],[431089,3,0.0],[431090,3,0.0],[431091,2,0.0],[431092,1,0.0],[431093,2,0.0],[431094,2,0.0],[431095,2,0.0],[431096,4,0.0],[431097,1,0.0],[431098,1,0.0],[431099,3,0.0],[431100,4,0.0],[431101,3,0.0],[431102,2,0.0],[431103,3,0.0],[431104,3,0.0],[431105,4,0.0],[431106,4,0.0],[431107,2,0.0],[431108,3,0.0],[431109,1,0.0],[431110,2,0.0],[431111,2,0.0],[431112,2,0.0],[431113,1,0.0],[431114,4,0.0],[431115,3,0.0],[431116,2,0.0],[431117,4,0.0],[431118,2,0.0],[431119,2,0.0],[431120,3,0.0],[431121,1,0.0],[431122,1,0.0],[431123,2,0.0],[431124,3,0.0],[431125,2,0.0],[431126,2,0.0],[431127,3,0.0],[431128,2,0.0],[431129,4,0.0],[431130,1,0.0],[431131,4,0.0],[431132,4,0.0],[431133,4,0.0],[431134,2,0.0],[431135,2,0.0],[431136,3,0.0],[431137,4,0.0],[431138,2,0.0],[431139,3,0.0],[431140,3,0.0],[431141,3,0.0],[431142,2,0.0],[431143,4,0.0],[431144,4,0.0],[431145,3,0.0],[431146,3,0.0],[431147,3,0.0],[431148,1,0.0],[431149,3,0.0],[431150,3,0.0],[431151,4,0.0],[431152,1,0.0],[431153,3,0.0],[431154,2,0.20441],[431155,4,0.0],[431156,1,0.0],[431157,1,0.0],[431158,2,0.0],[431159,2,0.0],[431160,3,0.0],[431161,3,0.0],[431162,3,0.0],[431163,2,0.0],[431164,4,0.0],[431165,2,0.0],[431166,4,0.0],[431167,4,0.0],[431168,3,0.0],[431169,3,0.0],[431170,2,0.0],[431171,1,0.0],[431172,2,0.0],[431173,4,0.0],[431174,1,0.0],[431175,2,0.0],[431176,3,0.0],[431177,3,0.0],[431178,2,0.0],[431179,3,0.0],[431180,4,0.0],[431181,3,0.0],[431182,2,0.0],[431183,1,0.0],[431184,1,0.0],[431185,4,0.0],[431186,1,0.0],[431187,2,0.0],[431188,3,0.0],[431189,4,0.0],[431190,1,0.0],[431191,1,0.0],[431192,3,0.0],[431193,3,0.0],[431194,1,0.0],[431195,3,0.0],[431196,1,0.0],[431197,1,0.0],[431198,2,0.0],[431199,2,0.0],[431200,3,0.0],[431201,4,0.0],[431202,2,0.0],[431203,2,0.0],[431204,2,0.0],[431205,2,0.0],[431206,4,0.0],[431207,4,0.0],[431208,2,0.0],[431209,1,0.0],[431210,1,0.0],[431211,1,0.0],[431212,1,0.0],[431213,4,0.0],[431214,2,0.0],[431215,4,0.0],[431216,1,0.0],[431217,3,0.0],[431218,1,0.0],[431219,1,0.0],[431220,3,0.0],[431221,3,0.0],[431222,1,0.0],[431223,3,0.0],[431224,1,0.0],[431225,4,0.0],[431226,2,0.0],[431227,4,0.0],[431228,2,0.0],[431229,2,0.0],[431230,1,0.0],[431231,1,0.0],[431232,3,0.0],[431233,2,0.0],[431234,2,0.0],[431235,3,0.0],[431236,4,0.0],[431237,2,0.0],[431238,4,0.0],[431239,1,0.0],[431240,1,0.0],[431241,3,0.0],[431242,4,0.0],[431243,1,0.0],[431244,3,0.0],[431245,2,0.0],[431246,1,0.0],[431247,2,0.0],[431248,3,0.0],[431249,1,0.0],[431250,4,0.0],[431251,3,0.0],[431252,4,0.0],[431253,4,0.0],[431254,2,0.0],[431255,2,0.0],[431256,1,0.0],[431257,2,0.0],[431258,2,0.0],[431259,2,0.0],[431260,1,0.0],[431261,2,0.0],[431262,2,0.0],[431263,2,0.0],[431264,3,0.0],[431265,1,0.0],[431266,4,0.0],[431267,2,0.0],[431268,1,0.0],[431269,4,0.0],[431270,2,0.0],[431271,3,0.0],[431272,3,0.0],[431273,3,0.0],[431274,4,0.0],[431275,3,0.0],[431276,1,0.0],[431277,1,0.0],[431278,2,0.0],[431279,3,0.0],[431280,2,0.0],[431281,2,0.0],[431282,2,0.0],[431283,2,0.0],[431284,3,0.0],[431285,2,0.0],[431286,3,0.0],[431287,3,0.0],[431288,1,0.0],[431289,1,0.0],[431290,2,0.0],[431291,4,0.0],[431292,4,0.0],[431293,4,0.0],[431294,1,0.0],[431295,1,0.0],[431296,1,0.0],[431297,1,0.0],[431298,4,0.0],[431299,4,0.0],[431300,2,0.0],[431301,2,0.0],[431302,4,0.0],[431303,3,0.0],[431304,4,0.0],[431305,2,0.0],[431306,4,0.0],[431307,2,0.0],[431308,4,0.0],[431309,3,0.0],[431310,1,0.0],[431311,1,0.0],[431312,1,0.0],[431313,1,0.0],[431314,1,0.0],[431315,2,0.268622],[431316,4,0.0],[431317,3,0.0],[431318,1,0.0],[431319,3,0.0],[431320,1,0.0],[431321,4,0.0],[431322,4,0.0],[431323,2,0.0],[431324,4,0.0],[431325,3,0.0],[431326,4,0.0],[431327,1,0.0],[431328,1,0.0],[431329,3,0.0],[431330,3,0.0],[431331,2,0.0],[431332,2,0.0],[431333,4,0.0],[431334,4,0.0],[431335,4,0.0],[431336,4,0.0],[431337,1,0.0],[431338,1,0.0],[431339,3,0.0],[431340,4,0.0],[431341,2,0.0],[431342,3,0.0],[431343,4,0.0],[431344,1,0.0],[431345,2,0.0],[431346,1,0.0],[431347,2,0.0],[431348,1,0.0],[431349,3,0.0],[431350,4,0.0],[431351,2,0.171156],[431352,4,0.0],[431353,2,0.0],[431354,1,0.0],[431355,2,0.0],[431356,1,0.0],[431357,4,0.0],[431358,3,0.0],[431359,3,0.0],[431360,2,0.0],[431361,2,0.0],[431362,4,0.0],[431363,4,0.0],[431364,2,0.0],[431365,4,0.0],[431366,4,0.0],[431367,2,0.0],[431368,4,0.0],[431369,1,0.0],[431370,2,0.0],[431371,1,0.0],[431372,3,0.0],[431373,1,0.0],[431374,3,0.0],[431375,1,0.0],[431376,3,0.0],[431377,4,0.0],[431378,2,0.0],[431379,4,0.0],[431380,4,0.0],[431381,3,0.0],[431382,4,0.0],[431383,4,0.0],[431384,2,0.0],[431385,4,0.0],[431386,4,0.0],[431387,1,0.0],[431388,1,0.0],[431389,1,0.0],[431390,2,0.0],[431391,1,0.0],[431392,1,0.0],[431393,4,0.0],[431394,2,0.0],[431395,3,0.0],[431396,4,0.0],[431397,1,0.0],[431398,1,0.0],[431399,4,0.0],[431400,4,0.0],[431401,4,0.0],[431402,1,0.0],[431403,1,0.0],[431404,1,0.0],[431405,1,0.0],[431406,2,0.0],[431407,2,0.0],[431408,3,0.0],[431409,3,0.0],[431410,4,0.0],[431411,4,0.0],[431412,1,0.0],[431413,4,0.0],[431414,4,0.0],[431415,3,0.0],[431416,3,0.0],[431417,4,0.0],[431418,2,0.0],[431419,3,0.0],[431420,4,0.0],[431421,2,0.0],[431422,4,0.0],[431423,2,0.0],[431424,4,0.0],[431425,1,0.0],[431426,3,0.0],[431427,2,0.0],[431428,3,0.0],[431429,2,0.0],[431430,2,0.0],[431431,3,0.0],[431432,3,0.0],[431433,1,0.0],[431434,1,0.0],[431435,3,0.0],[431436,3,0.0],[431437,4,0.0],[431438,3,0.0],[431439,3,0.0],[431440,1,0.0],[431441,1,0.0],[431442,2,0.0],[431443,1,0.0],[431444,1,0.0],[431445,4,0.0],[431446,1,0.0],[431447,4,0.0],[431448,1,0.0],[431449,2,0.0],[431450,1,0.0],[431451,3,0.0],[431452,4,0.0],[431453,1,0.0],[431454,2,0.0],[431455,2,0.0],[431456,2,0.0],[431457,3,0.0],[431458,3,0.0],[431459,2,0.0],[431460,1,0.0],[431461,1,0.0],[431462,1,0.0],[431463,4,0.0],[431464,2,0.0],[431465,2,0.0],[431466,1,0.0],[431467,2,0.0],[431468,1,0.0],[431469,4,0.0],[431470,3,0.0],[431471,2,0.0],[431472,2,0.0],[431473,1,0.0],[431474,4,0.0],[431475,4,0.0],[431476,2,0.0],[431477,1,0.0],[431478,1,0.0],[431479,2,0.0],[431480,2,0.0],[431481,2,0.0],[431482,3,0.0],[431483,2,0.0],[431484,1,0.0],[431485,4,0.0],[431486,2,0.0],[431487,4,0.0],[431488,1,0.0],[431489,2,0.0],[431490,1,0.0],[431491,1,0.0],[431492,3,0.0],[431493,3,0.0],[431494,1,0.0],[431495,1,0.0],[431496,4,0.0],[431497,1,0.0],[431498,1,0.0],[431499,2,0.0]],"notes":"Single process; unmodified simulator at pinned commit; default ChallengeConfig and ParameterVariance, 2000 steps. Both UTF-8 strategy hashes verified before all runs. First observed rival quotes checked for both strategies on every seed. Exactly one successful record per strategy per seed; no tuning or finalist seeds used. Statistics use unrounded paired differences; retail_diff and arb_diff are mean paired differences. Timing excludes four calibration simulations. No promotion decision from this block."}